I don't know much about national and
international capital markets, but I suppose they work on the basis of market dynamics
and equilibria that determine returns to capital. The underlying issues must be:
(i) Who has the investable capital? (ii) Where did they get it from? And (iii)
Where can they get the greatest return.
‘Capital flight’ suggests illegal movements of monies
involved;
yet this is not necessarily so. The monies involved may be quite clean.
So why do the money owners ship it abroad? The simple answers must
be that the home market is unfavourable, especially if the money was
acquired illegally
or illegitimately, or that the money is genuine, but the market offers
comparatively
unattractive returns.
Social media reports claim a Kenyan public
utility executive picked from USD 24,000pa public university lectureship, acquired
USD 11.29mn worth of real estate and top-end vehicles during a single five-year
tenure. If such are corruption proceeds, then it is reasonable to assume an
internal network that has fleeced the utility of multiples of these amounts during
the utility’s management musical chairs since the 1990s. Several such managers have
been indicted, but cases remain undecided 30 years on, inducing further
financial malfeasance. Local banking of such monies raises questions; hence
capital flight.
But
capital flight also occurs in the
corporate sector, where companies simply decide to invest elsewhere.
When monetary policies impose caps o capital movement, then such
corporates adopt methods such as transfer pricing between subsidiary and
affiliated companies, and over invoicing whereby foreign prices are
inflated.
These practices enable shipping more money out of the country than is
necessary
for the official acquisition being undertaken, the surplus being
‘banked’ with
an accomplice.
Some
of these formal and informal money
laundering transfers enable domestic
tax evasion, and complicating any central bank’s money regulating role.
While developing country money markets are not fully integrated
into the global money markets, individual players on the global market
are only
too glad to receive extra money that strengthens their competitiveness.
The more domestic money markets espouse
international money management standards, the more they should control against
capital flight. However, domestic money markets cannot sustainably adopt international
standards if the rest of the economy is not on board. National elites legally banking in off shore accounts, attract others to do the same.
Interestingly,
capital flight destinations - for flights sake as opposed to business
investment, are often very small economies, such as Seychelles
(population 100,000) and Mauritius.
The
solution to capital flight is to make investment in the domestic market
as attractive as, if not more attractive than investing abroad. This is
not easy for a developing country economy; but it must try!